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Down 10% in a month with a 10% yield! Is this stock a no-brainer buy for a second income?

Picture supply: Getty Pictures

Phoenix Group Holdings (LSE: PHNX) could also be an excellent inventory for traders who need to get the utmost quantity of second revenue they’ll. 

The pensions, financial savings, and life insurer presents the best dividend yield on the FTSE 100, presently paying 10.18% a yr. Higher nonetheless, for traders who like a discount, the Phoenix share value has fallen 10.49% within the final month. Meaning a decrease entry value, greater revenue.

I purchased Phoenix in January and once more in March. Ought to I take this chance to make it a hat-trick of purchases?

Stellar FTSE 100 dividend share

I’ve acquired two beneficiant dividend funds already and the third will hit my account on 31 October. For some time, I used to be having fun with share value progress as properly, however alas, the final month’s sell-off modified that and I’m again the place I started.

If in the present day’s yield holds, I’ll double my cash in simply over seven years. Phoenix has a bit good observe document of dividend hikes, as this chart reveals.


Chart by TradingView

There’s an apparent drawback, although. Will the share value ever develop? And this begs a second query. Does it matter if it doesn’t?

To be truthful, Phoenix shares are up 11.14% over the past yr. The draw back is that they’re down 25.72% over 5. That double-digit yield received’t look fairly so unmissable if my capital is being eroded on the identical time.

At first look, markets seem to have been arduous on Phoenix. In full-year 2023, it delivered a strong 13% enhance in IFRS-adjusted working revenue to £617m, pushed by robust progress in its pension and financial savings enterprise.

It seems to begin 2024 in an identical vein, posting a 15% enhance in first-half adjusted working earnings to £360m on 16 September. Nonetheless, the corporate’s accounts are a bit tough to know, and the headline backside line after tax confirmed a lack of £646m. The board pinned that on “antagonistic financial variances from greater rates of interest and international equities that are the consequence of our SII hedging strategy”. Possibly markets aren’t being that tough on Phoenix in spite of everything.

I’d prefer to see the Phoenix share value rise

The dividend nonetheless seems strong as whole first-half money era jumped 5.8% to £950m. Phoenix is now aiming to hit the highest finish of its £1.4bn to £1.5bn goal vary in 2024. 

The shares may get a carry with analysts forecasting margins will enhance from 5.7% to 13% this yr. The 14 analysts providing one-year value targets have a median projection of 575.5p per share, an increase of 11.14% from in the present day’s 517.5p. That’s most likely as a lot as we will hope for, however would give a complete return of greater than 20%. That’s if it’s appropriate.

Regardless of final month’s dip, Phoenix doesn’t look notably low-cost, buying and selling at 15.78 instances earnings, roughly according to the FTSE 100 common price-to-earnings ratio. The value-to-sales ratio is 1.1, which suggests traders are paying 110p for each £1 in gross sales. 

The corporate must develop to impress traders, nevertheless it’s working in a mature and aggressive market, at an unsure time. It could battle to ship.

I received’t be promoting my Phoenix shares, however I received’t purchase extra in the present day. They provide an excellent second revenue, however I’m not satisfied I can reside by dividends alone.

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